BayesiaLab: Application Examples of Bayesian networks
Health Trajectory Analysis
Sophie Levionnois
Bayesia
The data bases of the French Health Insurance contain accurate
descriptions of the health care trajectories. It is then possible to build a
probabilistic model of the patient's behavior to evaluate the impact of the
health care demand evolution on the existing health organizations.

BayesiaLab
has been used in a study concerning a population made of elderly patients (more
than 15 000 patients) to build a health typology that fits the new demographic
issue.
BayesiaLab has allowed to build dynamical models representing the dependency
evolution and to compare the prediction of those models with real data.

BayesiaLab also allows measuring the regularity of the heath
care consumption, post by post, and then to predict the evolution of the need.
The network below illustrates such predictive model. MED, PHA, ART represent
the reimbursements of the medical consultations, the reimbursements of the pharmaceutical
costs, and the reimbursements of the sick leaves respectively.

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