2nd BayesiaLab User Conference
Keynote Address at the Openening Session & Welcome Reception, September 23, 2014
From Bayesian Networks to Causal and Counterfactual Reasoning
Judea Pearl, Ph.D.
Professor of computer science and statistics at UCLA, and distinguished visiting professor at the Technion, Israel Institute of Technology
The development of Bayesian Networks, so people tell me, marked a turning point in the way uncertainty is handled in computer systems. For me, this development was a stepping stone towards a more profound transition, from reasoning about beliefs to reasoning about causal and counterfactual relationships.
In this talk, I will survey the milestones of this journey, and summarize the practical and conceptual problems that we can solve today and could not address two decades ago.