Seminar: Bayesian Networks for Health Economics and Public Policy Research
Recorded on November 15, 2018, at NYU.
Context
This seminar illustrates how Bayesian networks can serve as a powerful modeling and reasoning framework for health economics research and public policy development.
Examples
For five different case studies, we present a complete analysis workflow using the BayesiaLab 8 software platform:
- Diagnostic decision support: using a machine-learned Bayesian network for cost-effective evidence-seeking in diagnosing coronary heart disease. This example introduces information-theoretic measures, such as Entropy and Mutual Information.
- Quantifying the value of information in field triage for optimizing trauma activation thresholds with regard to hospital resource utilization.
- Developing universal health policies under extreme uncertainty, i.e., without any data: "test & treat" or presumptive malaria treatment in sub-Saharan Africa.
- Childhood Literacy Campaign: Simpson's Paradox rears its ugly head and leads to misguided policies.
We present the motivation, proposed methodology, and practical implementation for each example.